龙上敏,男,副教授,博士
(Email: smlong@hhu.edu.cn )
2021.06 - 至今 ,河海大学,海洋学院,副教授
2018.03 - 2021.05,河海大学,海洋学院,讲师
2017.01 - 2018.03,中国科学院南海海洋研究所,助理研究员
学习经历:
2011.09 - 2016.12,中国海洋大学,物理海洋学,博士(硕博连读,导师:谢尚平教授)
2014.09 - 2016.09,加州大学圣迭戈分校Scripps海洋研究所,物理海洋学,国家留学基金委联合培养博士
2007.09 - 2011.07,中国海洋大学,海洋科学,理学学士
研究方向:海洋对全球变暖的响应过程;海气相互作用;气候变化;气候预估不确定性;海洋热浪
海洋在气候系统中起着重要的调控作用,地球表面超过70%的区域都被海洋覆盖,海洋的巨大热容量带来的“热惯性”作用为气候系统极大地“缓冲”了全球变暖带来的影响,自工业革命以来人类活动造成的温室气体浓度不断增长,使得更多的热量因为“温室效应”而保留在地球系统内,其中超过90%的额外增加的热量由海洋吸收。海洋对全球变暖的响应分成混合层海洋的快速调整过程(海洋快响应,时间尺度3-5年),以及次表层及深层海洋的缓慢增温过程(海洋慢响应,时间尺度百年-千年),这是因为热量首先被上层海洋吸收,然后再逐步分配到下层。可以简单预估到的是,海洋层结及海平面高度会因为海洋内部热量的分配而发生显著变化,海洋内部吸收的热量不会消失,而是会缓慢再作用于气候系统,但其中的具体物理过程是怎样的、海洋内部增暖后会如何反馈到表面气候(包括温度、降水、风场等)的变化……这些问题都亟待研究,对我们全面认识海洋在气候变化中的作用非常重要。特别是在当前《巴黎协定》制定的1.5℃和2℃低增温目标及碳中和目标的背景下,海洋内部的响应在全球和区域气候变化、海洋灾害性事件(如海洋热浪、台风等)中的作用尤为值得关注。
Climate Spiral 1880-2023 (NASA Scientific Visualization Studio)
This map shows monthly temperature anomalies measured from 1880 to August 2023 measured with respect to the baseline period 1951-1980. (NASA Scientific Visulalization Studio)
现教授课程:
《海洋科学导论》(本科)、《大洋环流》(本科);
《学术规范与论文写作指导》(研究生)
曾教授课程:《Matlab语言》(本科);《海洋科学认识实习》(本科);《区域海洋学》(本科);《环境海洋科学》(本科);
9. 国家自然科学基金重点基金项目,项目编号42141019,碳中和背景下的关键动力学过程及其对中国区域气候的影响,2022/01-2025/12,项目骨干,参与
8. 江苏省自然科学基金面上项目,项目编号BK20211209,近几十年副热带南印度洋SST增暖研究,2021/07-2024/06, 主持
7. 国家自然科学基金面上项目,项目编号42076208,南大洋对外辐射强迫不同时间尺度的响应及其气候效应,2021/01-2024/12,主持
6. 国家自然科学基金青年项目,项目编号41706026,热带印度洋SST对全球变暖的慢响应过程,2018/01-2020/12,主持
5. 中央高校业务费项目, 项目编号B210202135,低增温情景下长江流域降水和径流变化,2021/01-2022/12,主持
4. 国家自然科学基金重点基金项目,项目编号41831175,全球变暖背景下海洋的快慢响应过程及对东亚气候的影响,2019/01-2023/12,项目骨干,参与
3. 国家重点研发计划,海洋-海冰参数和物理过程的观测数据集构建与模式评估,2018/01-2023/12,子课题,参与
2. 自然资源部卫星海洋环境动力学国家重点实验室开放课题,青年海星访问学者项目,主持
1. 中央高校业务费项目,低增温情景下北太平洋环流变化,2018/06-2020/05,主持
论文论著:
30. Gao, Z., S. Zhao, Q. Liu, S.-M. Long*, S. Sun, 2024: Assessment of the Southern Ocean sea surface temperature biases in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models, J. Ocean. Univ. China., 23(5), 1130-1150, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11802-024-5808-5.
29. Long, S.‐M., Zhao, S., Gao, Z., Sun, S., Shi, J.‐R., Ying, J., et al. 2024: Weakened seasonality of the ocean surface mixed layer depth in the Southern Indian Ocean during 1980–2019. Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2023GL107644. https://doi. org/10.1029/2023GL107644
28. Liu, Q., Young, I.R., Zieger, S., Ribal, A., Long, S.-M., Dong, X., Song, Z., Guan, C. and Babanin, A.V., 2023: On global wave height climatology and trends from multiplatform altimeter measurements and wave hindcast. Ocean Modelling, 186, p.102264.
27. Gao Z., Long S.-M.*, Shi J.-R., Cheng L., Li G., and Ying J., 2023: Indian Ocean mixed layer depth changes under global warming. Frontiers in Climate. 5:1112713. doi: 10.3389/fclim.2023.1112713
26. Chen, L., G. Li, B. Lu, Y. Li, C. Gao, S.-M. Long, X. Li, and Z. Wang, 2022: Two Approaches of the Spring North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature Affecting the Following July Precipitation over Central China: The Tropical and Extratropical Pathways, Journal of Climate, 35(20):2969-2986, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-1012.1.
25. Huang, G*, Z. Xu, X. Qu, J. Cao, S.-M. Long, K. Yang, H. Hou, Y. Wang and X. Ma, 2022: Critical climate issues towards carbon neutrality targets. Fundamental Research, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fmre.2022.02.011
24. Geng, Y.F., S.-P. Xie, X.-T. Zheng, S.-M. Long; S.M. Kang, X.P. Lin, and Z.H. Song, 2022: CMIP6 intermodel uncertainty in interhemispheric asymmetry of tropical climate response to greenhouse warming: Extratropical ocean effects. J. Climate, 35, 4869-4882. doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0541.1
23. Gao, X.; G. Li, J. Liu, S.-M Long, 2022: The Trend and Interannual Variability of Marine Heatwaves over the Bay of Bengal. Atmosphere, 13,469. https://doi.org/10.3390/ atmos13030469.
22. Chen, L., G. Li, S.-M. Long, C. Gao, Z. Zhang, and B. Lu, 2022: Interdecadal change in the influence of El Niño in the developing stage on the central China summer precipitation, Climate Dynamics, 59(3) DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-06036-9
21. Le, C., Wu, M., Sun, H., Long, S.-M.,& Beck, M. W. (2022). Linking phytoplankton variability to atmospheric blocking in an eastern boundary upwelling system. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 127, e2021JC017348. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JC017348
20. Sun, S., A. Thompson, S.-P. Xie, and S.-M. Long, 2022: Indo-Pacific warming induced by a weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, Journal of Climate, 35(2), 815-832, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0346.1
19. 陈云帆; 陈天然; 龙上敏; 陈泽生; 杜岩. 四个代表站点珊瑚δ^18 O数据对热带印度洋气候变率的反演能力分析, 2021, 热带海洋学报, in press.
18. 谢龙,白学志,龙上敏. CMIP6模式对北冰洋海洋热含量的模拟能力评估[J]海洋学报,2021,43(7): 35—51,doi:10.12284myxb2021147
17. Wu, X., G. Li, W. Jiang, S.-M. Long, and B. Lu, 2021: Asymmetric relationship between ENSO and the tropical Indian Ocean summer SST anomalies, Journal of Climate, 34(14): 5955-5969, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0546.1.
16. 蔡兆男,成里京,李婷婷,郑循华,王林,韩圣慧,王凯,屈侠,江飞,张永雨,朱建华,龙上敏,孙扬,贾炳浩,袁文平,张天一,张晴,谢瑾博,朱家文,刘志强,吴琳,杨东旭,魏科,吴林,张稳,刘毅,曹军骥. 碳中和目标下的若干地球系统科学和技术问题分析[J].中国科学院院刊,2021, 36(5):602-613.
15. Xie, H., X.-T. Zheng, and S.-M. Long, 2021: Fast and slow responses of the thermocline to global warming in the tropical Pacific: Characteristics and mechanisms, Periodical of Ocean University of China, 51(1): 9-16 (in Chinese). [解晗;郑小童;龙上敏;.全球变暖背景下赤道太平洋温跃层的快慢变化特征与机制[J].中国海洋大学学报(自科版),2021,51(1): 9-16].
14. Long, S.-M, K. Hu, G. Li, G. Huang, and X. Qu, 2021: Surface temperature changes projected by FGOALS models under low warming scenarios in CMIP5 and CMIP6, Adv. Atmos Sci., 38, 203-220.
13. Long, S.-M, Q. Liu, X.-T. Zheng, X. Cheng, X. Bai, and Z. Gao, 2020: Research progress in the long-term ocean temperature changes in the Southern Ocean (in Chinese), Advances in Earth Science, 35(9), 962-977. [龙上敏,刘秦玉,郑小童,程旭华,白学志,高臻,(2020):南大洋海温长期变化研究进展,地球科学进展, 35(9),962-977]
12. Long, S.-M, G. Li, K. Hu, and J. Ying, 2020: Origins of the IOD-like biases in CMIP multi-model ensembles: The atmospheric component and ocean-atmosphere coupling, J. Climate, 33 (24): 10437–10453, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0459.1.
11. Long, S.-M, S.-P. Xie, Y. Du, Q. Liu, K.-M. Hu, G. Huang, X.-T. Zheng, and J. Ying, 2020: Effects of ocean slow response under low warming targets, J. Climate, 33(2): 477-496, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0213.1.
10. Ju, W., S.-M. Long, S.-P. Xie, G. Wang, and D. Yan, 2020: Changes in the North Pacific subtropical gyre under 1.5C low warming scenario. Clim. Dyn., 55:3117-3131, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05436-7.
9. Hu, K., Y. Liu, G. Huang, Z. He, S.-M. Long, 2020: Contributions to the interannual summer rainfall variability in the mountainous area of central China and their decadal changes, Adv. Atmos Sci., 37, 259-268.
8. Hu, K., and S.-M. Long. 2020. The optimal heat source for interannual variability of the Western North Pacific summer monsoon, Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett., 13(1), 41-47, https://doi.org/10.1080/16742834.2019.1680087.
7. Hu, K., G. Huang, S.-P. Xie, and S.-M. Long, 2019: Effect of the mean flow on the anomalous anticyclone over the Indo-Northwest Pacific in post-El Nino summers. Clim. Dyn., 53 (9-10): 5725-5741, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04893-z.
6. Gao, C., H. Chen, G. Li, H. Ma, X. Li, S.-M. Long, B. Xu, X. Li, X. Zeng, and Y. Hong. 2019: Land-atmosphere interaction over the Indo-China Peninsula during spring and its effect on the following summer climate over the Yangtze River basin, Clim. Dyn., 53 (9-10): 6181-6198. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04922-x
5. Zheng, X.-T., C. Hui, S.-P. Xie, W. Cai, and S.-M. Long, 2019: Intensification of El Nino rainfall variability over the tropical Pacific in the slow oceanic response to global warming. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, 2253-2260
4. Long, S.-M, S.-P. Xie, Q. Liu, X.-T. Zheng, G. Huang, K.-M. Hu, and Y. Du*, 2018: slow response and the 1.5 and 2℃ warming targets (in Chinese), Chin. Sci. Bull., 63(5-6), 558-570. [龙上敏,谢尚平,刘秦玉,黄刚,胡开明,杜岩,(2018):海洋对全球变暖的快慢响应与低温升目标,科学通报, 63(5-6), 558-570; doi: 10.1360/N972017-01115]
3. Long, S.-M., S.-P. Xie*, and W. Liu, 2016: Uncertainty in tropical rainfall projections: Atmospheric circulation effect and the ocean coupling, J. Climate, 29(7), 2671-2687.
2. Long, S.-M., and S. -P. Xie, 2015: Intermodel variations in projected precipitation change over the North Atlantic: Sea surface temperature effect. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 4158–4165.
1. Long, S.-M., S.-P. Xie, X.-T. Zheng, and Q., Liu, 2014: Fast and slow responses to global warming: Sea surface temperature and precipitation patterns. J. Climate, 27, 285–299.
科普短文:
龙上敏,2021:海洋中淘气的“小男孩”和“小女孩”,知识就是力量, 580, 8-9.
表彰奖励:
2023年度河海大学第三十届讲课竞赛二等奖;2023年度校“青年岗位能手”;2020年河海大学第二十六届讲课竞赛三等奖;2020年线上教学优秀教师;2020年度校考核优秀;
学术兼职:
担任期刊 Science Advances、Nature Communications、Geophysical Research Letters、Journal of Climate、Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans、Climate Dynamics、Ocean Modelling、Climatic Change、International Journal of Climatology、Theoretical and Applied Climatology等学术期刊的审稿人
指导学生:
高 鑫:2019级硕士,校级优秀毕业生
高 臻,2020级硕士
赵时长:2021级硕士
孙晨祎:2022级硕士
张可睿:2022级硕士
施童童:2024级硕士
高天宇:2024级硕士
指导本科生创训:
2024年:基于ENSO预测结果的南海北部海洋热浪预测模型初研(国家级)
2023年:基于气候会商系统多源预测结果的ENSO集合预测研究(国家级)
2022年:海洋热浪对南海珊瑚礁影响分析(校级)
2021年:近几十年印度洋增暖对印度夏季风的影响(校级)
2020年:低增温情景下秘鲁沿岸上升流的响应特征及机制(校级)